Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:11:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedb4…a0c0
crypto · 211 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$1,025 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,025 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,025
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses115 / 97
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)212 / 211
History coverage48d
Avg bet$166
Trades / day35.6
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 212 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$327
7 days−$582
14 days−$856
30 days+$1,614
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $245 −$240 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $34 −$33 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 07 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 07 $29 −$28 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $52 −$49 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 06 $52 +$37 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $88 −$85 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 06 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 05 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 31 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $67 −$64 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 31 $57 +$43 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 31 $283 −$275 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 31 $180 +$120 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 31 $209 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET May 31 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET May 31 $173 −$173 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 30 $208 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 30 $93 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 30 $136 +$70 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 30 $202 +$27 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 30 $213 +$156 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET May 30 $360 +$40 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 30 $309 +$245 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET May 30 $490 +$144 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 30 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 30 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 30 $323 +$80 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 30 $53 +$438 +828%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 30 $424 +$267 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 30 $265 +$119 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET May 30 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET May 29 $806 +$92 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 29 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 29 $202 +$34 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 29 $301 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 29 $504 +$67 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 29 $605 +$82 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 29 $303 +$42 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 29 $101 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 29 $125 +$135 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 29 $209 +$314 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 29 $208 +$386 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 29 $704 +$63 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 29 $508 +$152 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 29 $433 +$393 +91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,061
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $45 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $26 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $19 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -85.7% -87.0% 8% 8% -88.0%
≤30d 101 -6.2% -15.1% 53% 48% +0.0%
≤90d 212 -1.4% -10.8% 54% 50% -6.5%
all 212 -1.4% -10.8% 54% 50% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 50% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 43% -15.4%
15% -27.1% 39% -23.6%
20% -34.3% 33% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1827 history records