Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:43:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedb4…ba5b
crypto · 369 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$169 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$302 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$302
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses217 / 150
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions2
Markets (closed)367 / 369
History coverage63d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day18.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 367 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$76
14 days−$76
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 67¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 21¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$6 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$9 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$19 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 48% −$93
sports 38% −$169
other 8% −$33
politics 5% −$7
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 217 +0.3% -9.2% 62% 47% -12.9%
≤30d 217 +0.3% -9.2% 62% 47% -12.9%
≤90d 367 -4.7% -13.7% 59% 42% -15.7%
all 367 -4.7% -13.7% 59% 42% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 42% -15.7%
10% -22.0% 27% -23.8%
15% -29.5% 20% -31.2%
20% -36.4% 13% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.92 · official $1.51 (match) · 1331 history records