Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:53:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedb6…8832
other · 34 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$6 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses12 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)27 / 34
History coverage22d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 7 History 27 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: CA Peñarol 2 - 0 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $24 +$1 +6%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -59%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$4 -54%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 22 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: CA Peñarol 1 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista? May 22 $5 +$3 +71%
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 22 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 22 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 22 $1 $0 +1%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $12 −$7 -58%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 22 $1 $0 -3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 22 $1 $0 -0%
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $1 $0 -3%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 22 $2 $0 -3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele May 22 $2 $0 -6%
Exact Score: CA Peñarol 2 - 0 SC Corinthians Paulista? May 22 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 35% $0
other 29% $0
crypto 22% −$6
tech 10% $0
politics 3% $0
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 63¢ $1 1h
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 56¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $25 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 94¢ $24 3h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 61¢ $3 3h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 3h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 30¢ $1 3h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 6h
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 6h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +9.6% -0.8% 62% 46% +10.2%
≤30d 27 -7.2% -16.1% 44% 33% -12.0%
≤90d 27 -7.2% -16.1% 44% 33% -12.0%
all 27 -7.2% -16.1% 44% 33% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 33% -12.0%
10% -24.1% 30% -20.4%
15% -31.4% 19% -28.1%
20% -38.1% 15% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.04 · official $8.04 (match) · 86 history records