Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:08:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedd9…f79b
other · 5 markets active 8h ago
1.0score
+$50,217 +165%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50,217 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$50,217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage470d
Avg bet$6,085
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54,330
7 days+$54,330
14 days+$54,330
30 days+$54,330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $6,900 $0 −$6,900 (-100%)
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $4,102 $0 −$4,102 (-100%)
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5,700 $0 −$5,700 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $13,709 +$66,930 +488%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5,700 −$5,700 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6,900 −$6,900 -100%
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? Jul 09 $4,104 −$4,102 -100%
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? Mar 05 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% +$54,330
crypto 14% −$4,113
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $17 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $3 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $1,155 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $819 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $17 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $34 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $22 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $8 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $94 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $28 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $340 8h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 17¢ $0 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +96.1% +77.4% 33% 33% +177.3%
≤30d 3 +96.1% +77.4% 33% 33% +177.3%
≤90d 3 +96.1% +77.4% 33% 33% +177.3%
all 5 +17.6% +6.4% 20% 20% +139.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.4% 20% +139.8%
10% ← realistic here -3.7% 20% +116.9%
15% -13.0% 20% +95.9%
20% -21.6% 20% +76.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 675 history records