Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:13:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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ED 0xeddb…a8fe crypto 1029 markets active 0h ago coverage 61d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$230 (-6%) realized −$230 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate75%776W / 253L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day29.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$41
14 days−$50
30 days−$171
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$265
other 0% −$2
weather 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -8.7% -17.4% 78% 49% -17.6%
≤30d 578 -7.7% -16.5% 74% 28% -16.1%
≤90d 1029 -7.7% -16.5% 75% 34% -16.0%
all 1029 -7.7% -16.5% 75% 34% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 34% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 11% -24.1%
15% -31.8% 6% -31.4%
20% -38.4% 5% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
49% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$230
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses776 / 253
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1029 / 1029
History coverage61d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1029 Trades
no open positions (46 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 42h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2658 history records