Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:36:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

ED
0xedf0…845e
other · 249 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$94 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses8 / 240
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)248 / 249
History coverage129d
Avg bet$217
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 1 History 248 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$15
14 days−$29
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $55 $55 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $211 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $726 −$1 -0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $56 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $612 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $372 −$1 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $437 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $614 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $198 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $358 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $229 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $207 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $363 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $126 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $114 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $335 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $597 −$1 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $342 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $198 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $197 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $913 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $232 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $578 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $369 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $190 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $59 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $422 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $255 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 05 $417 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $210 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $639 −$2 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $524 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $402 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 05 $290 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $135 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $636 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $307 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $250 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 03 $164 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $61 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $365 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $340 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $150 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? May 31 $545 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $493 −$2 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? May 31 $713 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $143 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 30 $305 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $343 $0 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $140 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $380 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$39
sports 25% −$22
politics 10% −$9
culture 8% −$9
economics 7% −$5
crypto 5% −$5
world 4% −$3
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 1h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $55 3h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $55 5h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 5h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $56 7h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $56 11h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $56 12h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $56 15h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $56 17h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $56 17h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $56 19h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $56 21h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $56 22h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $56 28h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $56 30h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $38 30h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $18 31h
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $56 32h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $56 41h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $56 42h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 2d
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $56 2d
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 2d
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $57 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $57 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $57 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $57 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $57 2d
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $57 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 176 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
all 248 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.30 · official $55.30 (match) · 1367 history records