Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
ED 0xedf4…f201 crypto 87 markets active 2d ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$233 (-14%) realized −$233 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -47% what you keep after slip
Net edge-47%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate39%34W / 53L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day58.0pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$185
other 7% −$104
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-37.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -37.5% -43.4% 40% 27% -29.4%
≤30d 87 -31.0% -37.5% 39% 31% -25.2%
≤90d 87 -31.0% -37.5% 39% 31% -25.2%
all 87 -31.0% -37.5% 39% 31% -25.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.5% 31% -25.2%
10% ← realistic here -43.5% 28% -32.3%
15% -49.0% 18% -38.9%
20% -54.0% 13% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -17% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -31% · $-wt -17% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -22% → late -40% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$13 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$233
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses34 / 53
Open positions0
Markets (closed)87 / 87
History coverage7d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 87 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$11 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -41%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$3 -22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $47 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $77 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$16 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $24 +$16 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $32 +$40 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$16 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $24 +$16 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $38 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $38 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $37 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $36 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $39 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $33 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $43 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $32 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $14 6d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 540 history records