Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T12:26:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee01…c876 other 38 markets active 1h ago coverage 90d
TRAPdo not copy Fading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$15 (-0%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate8%3W / 35L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$413per market
Trades / day1.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit61%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 39% −$6
world 31% −$5
politics 9% −$2
crypto 8% −$2
economics 7% −$1
sports 7% −$1
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 7% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 14 -0.1% -9.6% 7% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 35 +0.1% -9.4% 9% 0% -9.6%
all 38 +0.1% -9.4% 8% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 77% · top 2 96% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$1,016) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.05 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

90d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses3 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage90d
Avg bet$413
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 38 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 27 $25 $0 -0%
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Jun 27 $35 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 25? Jun 26 $53 $0 +0%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Jun 26 $1,275 −$1 -0%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the mos Jun 26 $18 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? Jun 25 $1,191 −$1 -0%
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 25 $28 $0 -0%
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 25 $1,331 −$2 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 25 $1,175 −$3 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 24 $1,250 −$1 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 24 $76 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? Jun 24 $1,252 −$2 -0%
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026 Jun 24 $1,176 −$2 -0%
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch? Apr 18 $80 $0 -0%
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Apr 18 $33 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 18 $26 $0 -0%
Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league? Apr 16 $53 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Apr 15 $47 $0 +0%
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Apr 15 $15 $0 -0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Apr 15 $1,026 −$1 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 14 $47 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $1,016 −$1 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Apr 14 $1,002 −$1 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $1,019 −$1 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $967 −$1 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $56 $0 -0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Apr 13 $13 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi Apr 13 $921 −$1 -0%
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series? Apr 07 $108 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 07 $20 $0 -0%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Apr 07 $27 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 3? Apr 03 $11 +$1 +7%
Netanyahu out by April 30? Apr 03 $84 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m Apr 03 $35 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 29 $74 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Mar 29 $54 $0 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 29 $21 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $25 1h
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $23 1h
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $25 1h
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $35 1h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next SELL No 100¢ $1,274 36h
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the mos SELL No 98¢ $18 36h
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 25? BUY No 100¢ $19 36h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next BUY No 100¢ $1,258 36h
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the mos BUY No 98¢ $18 36h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? SELL No 100¢ $835 36h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? SELL No 100¢ $355 37h
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next BUY No 100¢ $18 37h
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 25? BUY No 100¢ $34 37h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? BUY No 100¢ $1,191 37h
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $53 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $28 2d
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $11 2d
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $29 2d
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $1,329 2d
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $13 2d
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $1,301 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $12 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $878 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $16 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $294 2d
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $30 2d
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $1,175 2d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $1,249 3d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $76 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 115 history records