Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:49:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee03…6edb
other · 429 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$7,515 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,390 · open +$337
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,084
Realized+$7,390
Unrealized+$337
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses258 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions79
Markets (closed)350 / 429
History coverage590d
Avg bet$347
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit24%
Chart Positions 79 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$172
7 days−$281
14 days−$208
30 days−$301
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 85¢ 84¢ $1,700 $1,671 −$29 (-2%)
Will there be 40+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $682 $681 −$1 (-0%)
Will there be 45+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $628 $629 +$1 (+0%)
Will there be 35+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 98¢ $628 $623 −$5 (-1%)
Will there be 30+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 98¢ $628 $620 −$8 (-1%)
Will Carlo Ancelotti be the next manager of Crystal Palace? No 99¢ 100¢ $500 $505 +$5 (+1%)
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $500 $502 +$2 (+0%)
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 96¢ 93¢ $498 $485 −$13 (-3%)
Will Alex Ferguson be the next manager of Manchester City FC? No 97¢ 100¢ $340 $350 +$10 (+3%)
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 86¢ 86¢ $344 $346 +$2 (+1%)
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? No 43¢ 53¢ $273 $335 +$62 (+23%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $300 $329 +$29 (+10%)
Will Amadou Onana be in Belgium's Starting 11? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $324 $315 −$9 (-3%)
Will Sergio Aguero be the next manager of Manchester City FC? No 94¢ 100¢ $282 $300 +$18 (+6%)
World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken? No 96¢ 96¢ $300 $300 −$0 (-0%)
Will Cristian Romero be in Argentina's Starting 11? Yes 90¢ 82¢ $302 $277 −$25 (-8%)
Will DR Congo reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 97¢ $280 $274 −$6 (-2%)
Will Uzbekistan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $270 $271 +$1 (+0%)
Will Curacao reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 98¢ $270 $269 −$1 (-1%)
Will Iraq reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 98¢ $270 $268 −$2 (-1%)
Will Paraguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 70¢ 86¢ $210 $258 +$48 (+23%)
Will Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 83¢ 100¢ $200 $241 +$41 (+20%)
Will Lionel Messi be in Argentina's Starting 11? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $200 $201 +$1 (+1%)
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 70¢ 84¢ $137 $165 +$28 (+21%)
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 97¢ $164 $161 −$3 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 14 $148 +$52 +35%
Will Antonio Rüdiger be in Germany's Starting 11? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Kai Havertz be in Germany's Starting 11? Jun 14 $96 +$3 +3%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $201 −$201 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 14 $152 −$152 -100%
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $1 +$19 +1310%
Will Gabriel Magalhaes be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 14 $97 +$3 +3%
Will Cesc Fabregas be the next manager of Benfica? Jun 13 $500 +$5 +1%
Will Pep Guardiola be the next manager of Benfica? Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Ivan Perišić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $0 $0 +93%
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Andoni Iraola be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Weston McKennie be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FI Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Tim Ream be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA Worl Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $102 +$111 +109%
Will the announcers say "Mexico" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $47 +$7 +14%
Will the announcers say "Canada" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $42 +$6 +13%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $202 +$84 +42%
Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $192 −$192 -100%
Will Oliver Glasner be the next manager of AC Milan? Jun 11 $31 −$1 -2%
Will Fermín López be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad Jun 02 $6 +$31 +525%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $53 +$42 +78%
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026? May 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup May 28 $21 +$2 +8%
Will Gio Reyna be included in the USA's official 2026 World Cup squad May 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2 May 28 $183 −$135 -74%
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? May 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Elliot Anderson be included in England's official 2026 World Cup May 28 $100 +$3 +3%
Will Nico O'Reilly be included in England's official 2026 World Cup sq May 28 $103 +$1 +1%
Will Marcus Rashford be included in England's official 2026 World Cup May 28 $100 +$4 +4%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 28 $73 +$32 +43%
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw? May 21 $148 −$32 -21%
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? May 20 $320 +$73 +23%
Will Ruben Amorim be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? May 18 $0 $0 -100%
Will Xavi Hernandez be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Edin Terzic be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? May 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Frank Lampard be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Andoni Iraola be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? May 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Son Heung-min be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? May 17 $60 $0 +1%
Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football? May 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after t May 11 $70 +$10 +15%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? May 06 $3,794 +$186 +5%
Will Crystal Palace finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? May 03 $300 +$4 +1%
Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 03 $505 +$90 +18%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? Apr 30 $1,061 +$155 +15%
SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5 Apr 30 $10 −$10 -100%
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 Apr 30 $28 −$28 -100%
SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score Apr 30 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% +$6,775
sports 11% +$812
politics 4% +$186
crypto 1% −$85
tech 1% +$26
world 0% +$8
finance 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 84¢ $26 35m
Will Brian Brobbey be in Netherlands's Starting 11? BUY No 99¢ $99 1h
Will Takehiro Tomiyasu be in Japan's Starting 11? BUY No 98¢ $30 1h
Will Junya Ito be in Japan's Starting 11? BUY No 99¢ $99 1h
Will Zion Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Will Brian Brobbey be in Netherlands's Starting 11? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 1h
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 80¢ $126 1h
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 74¢ $75 2h
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 74¢ $4 2h
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 74¢ $43 2h
Spread: Germany (-1.5) BUY Germany 74¢ $25 2h
Will Jordan be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 W BUY No 88¢ $22 2h
Will Cristian Romero be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY Yes 88¢ $176 3h
Will Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 83¢ $201 3h
Will Cristian Romero be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY Yes 94¢ $76 10h
Will Cristian Romero be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY No 6¢ $1 11h
Will Amadou Onana be in Belgium's Starting 11? BUY Yes 92¢ $276 11h
Will Cristian Romero be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY No 6¢ $1 12h
Will Bernardo Silva be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 13¢ $6 13h
Will Pedro Neto be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 18¢ $9 13h
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 38¢ $204 13h
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 4¢ $2 15h
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 4¢ $0 17h
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 4¢ $11 18h
Will Désiré Doué be in France's Starting 11? BUY Yes 66¢ $101 23h
Will Ferran Torres be in Spain's Starting 11? BUY Yes 80¢ $30 23h
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 73¢ $49 24h
Will Tijjani Reijnders be in Netherlands's Starting 11? BUY No 10¢ $2 24h
Will Youri Tielemans be in Belgium's Starting 11? BUY Yes 91¢ $18 25h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $152 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +28.3% +16.1% 50% 32% -22.6%
≤30d 41 +10.1% -0.4% 49% 27% -18.2%
≤90d 70 +0.4% -9.1% 54% 33% -3.8%
all 350 +11.9% +1.3% 74% 38% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.3% 38% -4.6%
10% -8.4% 25% -13.7%
15% -17.3% 16% -22.1%
20% -25.4% 11% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,084.42 · official $13,084.42 (match) · 2883 history records