Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T16:20:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee05…004e crypto 124 markets active 0h ago coverage 72d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$965 (-19%) realized −$965 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate40%49W / 75L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day2.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$67
7 days−$111
14 days−$202
30 days−$1,342
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,060
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -16.8% -24.7% 52% 43% -19.5%
≤30d 97 -30.6% -37.2% 32% 30% -41.8%
≤90d 124 -17.8% -25.6% 40% 38% -28.9%
all 124 -17.8% -25.6% 40% 38% -28.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.6% 38% -28.9%
10% -32.7% 34% -35.7%
15% -39.2% 31% -41.9%
20% -45.2% 30% -47.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -19% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$35 vs −$37 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

72d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$965
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses49 / 75
Open positions0
Markets (closed)124 / 124
History coverage72d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 124 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $171 −$63 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 23 $71 −$20 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $61 +$50 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $22 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $27 +$14 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $43 +$25 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $60 +$29 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $58 +$49 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $48 +$55 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 23 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 21 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 21 $43 −$41 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $68 +$22 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 21 $30 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 20 $107 −$104 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $24 +$24 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$29 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 05 $40 −$38 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 05 $40 −$38 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 05 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 05 $28 −$27 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 05 $52 +$49 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 05 $30 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 05 $30 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 05 $29 +$62 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 05 $42 +$49 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 05 $24 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 05 $30 +$64 +211%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 05 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 05 $21 +$15 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 05 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 04 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 04 $30 +$20 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 04 $49 +$61 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 04 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 04 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 04 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 04 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 02 $38 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 02 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 02 $28 −$22 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 02 $29 +$38 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 02 $35 −$33 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $99 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $98 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $72 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $21 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $91 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $29 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $111 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $61 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $22 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $41 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $27 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $47 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $43 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $90 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $68 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 223 history records