Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T10:58:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
EE 0xee11…83e8 crypto 1553 markets active 6d ago coverage 105d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 104d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$424 (+7%) realized +$424 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate54%839W / 714L
Drawdown22%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day26.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$17
14 days+$2
30 days+$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$299
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +14.3% +3.4% 69% 64% +2.9%
≤30d 751 +5.2% -4.8% 56% 55% -3.9%
≤90d 1454 +3.3% -6.6% 54% 50% -2.8%
all 1553 +2.9% -6.9% 54% 50% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 50% -4.8%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 43% -13.9%
15% -24.0% 37% -22.2%
20% -31.4% 29% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.02 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.2 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

105d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized+$424
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses839 / 714
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1553 / 1553
History coverage105d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day26.2
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1553 Trades
no open positions (460 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$2 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records