Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:23:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee19…534c
crypto · 282 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$337 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$341 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$341
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses153 / 128
Open positions1
Markets (closed)281 / 282
History coverage90d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 281 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$2
14 days+$12
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+374%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 01 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 01 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 01 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 31 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 31 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 31 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 31 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 31 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 31 $1 +$3 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 31 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 31 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 31 $4 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 38% −$337
politics 15% $0
sports 14% $0
world 14% $0
tech 13% $0
economics 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -3.1% -12.3% 50% 50% -6.7%
≤30d 178 +1.6% -8.1% 54% 48% -9.0%
≤90d 281 -1.4% -10.8% 54% 50% -15.5%
all 281 -1.4% -10.8% 54% 50% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.8% 50% -15.5%
10% -19.3% 4% -23.5%
15% -27.1% 2% -30.9%
20% -34.3% 2% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.97 · official $4.97 (match) · 893 history records