Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:28:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee1b…5571 crypto 363 markets active 0h ago coverage 104d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$434 (-12%) realized −$434 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate41%150W / 213L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day11.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$56
14 days−$56
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 71% −$170
weather 29% −$343
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -5.3% -14.3% 89% 0% -15.7%
≤30d 18 -5.3% -14.3% 89% 0% -15.7%
≤90d 127 -27.1% -34.0% 38% 24% -28.8%
all 363 -12.9% -21.2% 41% 31% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.2% 31% -22.5%
10% -28.7% 26% -29.9%
15% -35.6% 22% -36.7%
20% -41.9% 18% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -22% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$6 · ×0.83 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

104d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$434
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses150 / 213
Open positions0
Markets (closed)363 / 363
History coverage104d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 363 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22 Apr 22 $14 +$12 +87%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 22? Apr 22 $37 −$12 -32%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 24? Apr 22 $12 −$12 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 23? Apr 22 $8 −$7 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 23? Apr 22 $12 −$4 -35%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Ap Apr 22 $12 −$9 -74%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22? Apr 22 $13 +$3 +26%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24? Apr 22 $1 +$1 +48%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 24? Apr 22 $4 −$3 -81%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ap Apr 22 $3 −$2 -64%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 24? Apr 22 $39 −$34 -86%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 22? Apr 22 $11 +$6 +58%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 23 Apr 22 $12 −$11 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 23 Apr 21 $5 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 22? Apr 21 $3 +$1 +43%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 22? Apr 21 $10 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 22? Apr 21 $3 −$2 -63%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21? Apr 21 $34 −$22 -65%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 23? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 21? Apr 21 $10 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 23? Apr 21 $36 −$6 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 20? Apr 21 $52 −$52 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on April 20? Apr 21 $48 +$56 +116%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 20? Apr 20 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on April 21? Apr 20 $8 +$2 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 18? Apr 20 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on Ap Apr 20 $35 −$35 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 18? Apr 20 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19? Apr 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 18? Apr 20 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on April 19? Apr 20 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19 Apr 20 $10 +$14 +136%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $49 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $49 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22 SELL Yes 96¢ $22 55d
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 24? BUY Yes 20¢ $12 56d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 23? BUY Yes 40¢ $8 56d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 23? SELL Yes 13¢ $8 56d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Ap SELL Yes 1¢ $0 56d
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22? SELL Yes 35¢ $0 56d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24? SELL Yes 34¢ $2 56d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 24? SELL Yes 4¢ $1 56d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Ap SELL Yes 8¢ $1 56d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Ap SELL Yes 2¢ $1 56d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 24? BUY Yes 24¢ $16 56d
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22? SELL Yes 34¢ $9 56d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1462 history records