trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 67% | 22% | -14.1% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -7.2% | -16.0% | 71% | 24% | -6.8% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 77% | 32% | -3.6% |
| all | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 77% | 32% | -3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.6% | 32% | -3.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.2% | 23% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 9% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 5% | -29.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $1,092 | +$16 | +2% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 22 | $92 | +$1 | +1% |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Jun 22 | $644 | +$50 | +8% |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | Jun 21 | $167 | −$93 | -56% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $8 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $4,260 | +$141 | +3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Jun 19 | $798 | −$661 | -83% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $1,214 | −$3 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $385 | +$112 | +29% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Jun 15 | $413 | +$9 | +2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 15 | $1,054 | +$146 | +14% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $1,532 | −$1,142 | -74% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 14 | $1,356 | −$157 | -12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 12 | $16,796 | +$632 | +4% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Jun 01 | $24,740 | +$460 | +2% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | Jun 01 | $2,353 | +$43 | +2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 31 | $24,482 | +$2,892 | +12% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Apr 30 | $23,361 | +$1,120 | +5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | Apr 16 | $18,391 | +$250 | +1% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Apr 13 | $4,996 | +$2,544 | +51% |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parl | Apr 13 | $4,955 | +$1,112 | +22% |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentar | Apr 13 | $3,438 | +$1,404 | +41% |