Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:43:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee34…4f48 crypto 775 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (517 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,575 (-18%) realized −$3,575 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate80%763W / 191L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day517.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$10now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (517 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 954 -18.6% -26.4% 80% 1% -31.1%
≤30d 954 -18.6% -26.4% 80% 1% -31.1%
≤90d 954 -18.6% -26.4% 80% 1% -31.1%
all 954 -18.6% -26.4% 80% 1% -31.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover517.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.4% 1% -31.1%
10% ← realistic here -33.4% 0% -37.7%
15% -39.9% 0% -43.7%
20% -45.8% 0% -49.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -24% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -38% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$34 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.05 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$10
Realized−$3,575
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses763 / 191
Open positions0
Markets (closed)954 / 775
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day517.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 954 Trades
no open positions (192 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $229 −$229 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $270 −$270 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $220 −$220 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $40 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.77 · official $9.09 (match) · 3500 history records