Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee36…bebe
sports · 175 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$366 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$380 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$267
Realized+$380
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses64 / 98
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions13
Markets (closed)162 / 175
History coverage584d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown58%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 13 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$83
7 days−$83
14 days−$307
30 days−$235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $51 $48 −$3 (-5%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $48 $47 −$2 (-4%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 43¢ 36¢ $30 $26 −$4 (-14%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-6%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $20 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 36¢ 34¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-7%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $18 $17 −$1 (-5%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? Yes 10¢ 9¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-10%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-29%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season RMD Gaming 13¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Team Secret Whales 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines Connecticut Huskies 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) FC Bayern München 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? No 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? No 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner G2 Esports 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $40 +$9 +21%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $30 +$28 +93%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $117 −$116 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 02 $25 −$25 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 01 $11 −$11 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $3 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $185 −$185 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $166 +$14 +9%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton May 28 $68 −$68 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $45 +$65 +146%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 28 $37 +$23 +64%
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic May 27 $309 +$20 +6%
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $23 −$2 -8%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $31 +$19 +61%
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 27 $27 −$26 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton May 25 $90 +$8 +9%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin May 25 $111 −$110 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane May 25 $102 +$185 +182%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $34 +$16 +49%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $30 −$30 -99%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? May 06 $36 +$24 +67%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) May 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) May 05 $12 −$12 -98%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 05 $18 −$2 -13%
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid? May 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Apr 15 $162 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Apr 09 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Apr 08 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafia Apr 07 $58 −$39 -68%
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Apr 07 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5) Apr 07 $10 +$10 +101%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5) Apr 07 $11 +$9 +83%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5) Apr 07 $17 +$13 +72%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) Apr 07 $38 +$32 +85%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines Apr 07 $50 −$50 -99%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 07 $49 +$31 +63%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Apr 06 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner Apr 05 $44 −$44 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Apr 05 $33 +$96 +293%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Apr 04 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Apr 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% +$393
other 19% −$93
world 12% −$130
politics 8% −$186
crypto 6% +$277
tech 4% +$93
culture 1% +$26
finance 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? SELL Yes 31¢ $6 1h
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 10h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 10¢ $8 10h
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 36¢ $20 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 82¢ $40 11h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 BUY Over 51¢ $30 12h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $7 23h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $14 23h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 57¢ $29 25h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 65¢ $26 25h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 69¢ $21 25h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $13 26h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $27 26h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $18 26h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 81¢ $41 26h
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Berrettini 63¢ $25 9d
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Frances Tiafoe 49¢ $10 11d
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 11d
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 3¢ $6 11d
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca BUY Casper Ruud 5¢ $4 11d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 11d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic BUY Novak Djokovic 73¢ $11 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic BUY Novak Djokovic 73¢ $15 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic BUY Novak Djokovic 73¢ $4 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic BUY Novak Djokovic 73¢ $66 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic BUY Novak Djokovic 84¢ $84 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar SELL Rafael Jodar 100¢ $180 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar BUY Rafael Jodar 92¢ $132 14d
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar BUY Rafael Jodar 92¢ $34 14d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -6.7% -15.6% 40% 40% -47.3%
≤30d 28 -32.7% -39.1% 36% 25% -23.4%
≤90d 106 -10.6% -19.2% 40% 35% +3.7%
all 162 -17.6% -25.5% 40% 36% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.5% 36% -3.8%
10% -32.6% 35% -13.0%
15% -39.1% 31% -21.4%
20% -45.1% 26% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $266.58 · official $266.58 (match) · 733 history records