Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:38:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EE 0xee36…68fb crypto 1361 markets active 0h ago coverage 224d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
Total PnL −$1,403 (-1%) realized −$1,498 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%1296W / 65L
Whale WR88%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$69per market
Trades / day6.3pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$64
14 days−$594
30 days−$710
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 70% −$1,481
other 12% +$681
world 10% +$520
politics 3% −$764
finance 3% +$74
sports 1% −$627
tech 1% +$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 235 +2.6% -7.2% 98% 4% -8.2%
≤30d 900 -0.1% -9.6% 96% 4% -10.8%
≤90d 988 -2.1% -11.4% 94% 4% -13.1%
all 1361 -0.2% -9.7% 95% 4% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 4% -11.0%
10% -18.4% 1% -19.5%
15% -26.3% 0% -27.3%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 88% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$86 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

224d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,498
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1296 / 65
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1361 / 1361
History coverage224d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1361 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 97¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 96¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 94¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 97¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 95¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 96¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 95¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 96¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 82¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 95¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 83¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 97¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 92¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 97¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 92¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 97¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 88¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 95¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 99¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 97¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 54¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $45 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $44 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $43 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $42 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $42 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $37 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $36 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $35 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $33 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $33 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $32 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $28 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $27 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $45 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $44 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $43 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $42 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $42 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $41 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $41 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $40 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $39 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $38 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $38 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $37 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $36 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $35 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $34 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $34 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $33 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $33 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $32 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $32 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $31 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2844 history records