Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T01:33:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee43…21f9 crypto 972 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (288 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,055 (+3%) realized +$1,055 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate89%874W / 112L
Drawdown67%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day287.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$232
14 days+$216
30 days+$216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$648
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (288 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 765 +0.6% -9.0% 89% 24% -8.7%
≤30d 986 +0.6% -9.0% 89% 24% -8.9%
≤90d 986 +0.6% -9.0% 89% 24% -8.9%
all 986 +0.6% -9.0% 89% 24% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover287.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 24% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 13% -17.6%
15% -25.6% 7% -25.6%
20% -32.9% 5% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$37 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,055
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses874 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)986 / 972
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$33
Trades / day287.9
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 986 Trades
no open positions (112 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 27 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $73 +$13 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $101 +$28 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $100 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$28 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 27 $75 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 27 $75 +$26 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 27 $82 −$77 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 27 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 27 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 27 $76 +$39 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 26 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 26 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 26 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 26 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 26 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 26 $58 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 26 $57 +$20 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $45 +$18 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 26 $60 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 26 $56 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $23 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $51 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $51 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $23 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $51 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $24 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records