Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:50:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee45…05cb crypto 64 markets active 4d ago coverage 10d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$12 (+1%) realized +$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -37% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -48% what you keep after slip
Net edge-48%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate27%17W / 47L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day15.5pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$21
14 days−$55
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 64% −$225
sports 32% +$209
other 5% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-43.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 -29.2% -36.0% 28% 23% -4.5%
≤30d 64 -37.1% -43.1% 27% 23% -15.8%
≤90d 64 -37.1% -43.1% 27% 23% -15.8%
all 64 -37.1% -43.1% 27% 23% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -43.1% 23% -15.8%
10% -48.6% 20% -23.8%
15% -53.5% 19% -31.2%
20% -58.1% 17% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 36% · top 2 55% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -37% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -46% → late -29% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$9 · ×2.42 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses17 / 47
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage10d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 64 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $39 −$39 -99%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -96%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $9 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $62 +$138 +222%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 11 $20 +$75 +365%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 11 $19 +$48 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$23 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$13 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$28 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$16 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 11 $22 −$22 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$5 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$6 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +134%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 10 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 06 $28 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 06 $9 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 06 $16 +$28 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Jun 06 $10 +$9 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 3d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $9 3d
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 60¢ $39 4d
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 4d
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 4d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 12.5 Total Corners BUY Over 15¢ $12 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5d
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) SELL Mexico 38¢ $13 5d
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) BUY Mexico 26¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $14 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 160 history records