Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:30:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee4a…1132 crypto 305 markets active 2d ago coverage 67d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$2,461 (-6%) realized −$2,461 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate50%151W / 154L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$133per market
Trades / day16.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$74
14 days−$79
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,489
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -88.2% -89.3% 0% 0% -95.2%
≤30d 3 -92.1% -92.9% 0% 0% -95.5%
≤90d 305 -17.5% -25.4% 50% 37% -17.6%
all 305 -17.5% -25.4% 50% 37% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.4% 37% -17.6%
10% -32.5% 27% -25.5%
15% -39.0% 21% -32.7%
20% -45.0% 13% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -10% → late -25% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$32 vs −$54 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.58 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

67d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,461
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses151 / 154
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)305 / 305
History coverage67d
Avg bet$133
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 305 Trades
no open positions (47 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$61 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$13 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 09 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 09 $102 +$36 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 09 $29 +$31 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 09 $52 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 09 $89 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 09 $61 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 09 $47 +$12 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 08 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 07 $94 −$90 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 07 $305 −$300 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 07 $65 +$31 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 07 $103 +$42 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 07 $307 +$75 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 07 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 07 $113 +$64 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 07 $120 +$57 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 07 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 06 $102 +$26 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 06 $103 +$34 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 06 $57 +$15 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 06 $52 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 06 $403 +$41 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 06 $103 +$45 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 06 $114 −$10 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 06 $103 −$89 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 06 $303 +$39 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 06 $246 +$49 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 06 $105 +$60 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 06 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 06 $206 +$151 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 06 $53 +$22 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 06 $44 −$42 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 06 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 06 $201 +$17 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 06 $82 −$29 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 06 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 06 $129 −$24 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 06 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 06 $26 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 06 $31 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET May 06 $31 +$24 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 06 $145 −$12 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 06 $119 +$19 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 06 $91 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 06 $73 −$50 -69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $32 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $31 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $6 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $31 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $6 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $60 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $78 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $14 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $52 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $60 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $29 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $47 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $93 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $89 36d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 36d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1270 history records