Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:14:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee4c…9278
sports · 932 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$144 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$575 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$299
Realized−$575
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses452 / 448
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions32
Markets (closed)900 / 932
History coverage46d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day42.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 32 History 900 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$89
7 days+$1
14 days−$129
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 63¢ 87¢ $33 $46 +$13 (+38%)
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 60¢ 61¢ $44 $45 +$1 (+2%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 70¢ $36 $37 +$1 (+2%)
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $22 $24 +$2 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage Bebop 51¢ 50¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 83¢ 80¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 52¢ 81¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+57%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 27¢ 40¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+48%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 46¢ 44¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-6%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 70¢ 68¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 92¢ 96¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+5%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 78¢ 98¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+26%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 91¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 56¢ 46¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-18%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Gen.G 52¢ 51¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? Yes 72¢ 76¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? No 86¢ 94¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+8%)
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? Yes 62¢ 21¢ $11 $4 −$7 (-66%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 75¢ 92¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+24%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 25¢ 28¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+10%)
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes 29¢ 20¢ $5 $4 −$2 (-33%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 30¢ 24¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-18%)
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 93¢ 84¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-44%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No 84¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $5 +$20 +409%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $2 +$3 +110%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $35 +$46 +132%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $13 +$52 +388%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $27 −$22 -83%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $53 −$39 -74%
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $4 +$12 +315%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $18 +$16 +88%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $35 −$34 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $14 +$13 +95%
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angele Jun 11 $2 +$1 +30%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $4 +$4 +90%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $26 −$7 -29%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $7 +$7 +94%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $8 −$4 -48%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $16 −$8 -49%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $12 +$9 +79%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $23 $0 -2%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $35 +$4 +12%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $1 $0 +11%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $8 +$9 +111%
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang Jun 09 $5 +$1 +21%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $15 −$2 -12%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +79%
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5) Jun 08 $3 +$1 +48%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs NightBirds (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $6 +$2 +29%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $40 −$30 -75%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $3 +$1 +46%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Am Jun 08 $5 +$1 +13%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 +$1 +23%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $4 +$4 +114%
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? Jun 08 $14 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 07 $3 +$3 +93%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $14 −$14 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $6 −$6 -98%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 07 $23 +$6 +25%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $25 −$6 -23%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $6 +$8 +126%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? Jun 07 $7 −$7 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$649
other 16% +$96
politics 3% −$23
world 2% −$16
crypto 1% −$23
weather 0% +$2
finance 0% −$2
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY Gen.G 52¢ $5 14m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 69¢ $3 22m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 52¢ $7 27m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 28m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 92¢ $6 29m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 17¢ $9 33m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 99¢ $24 41m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 30¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 19¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 99¢ $80 4h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 57¢ $5 5h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 53¢ $0 5h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 53¢ $4 5h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 42¢ $5 6h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 42¢ $18 6h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 99¢ $8 6h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 99¢ $22 6h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 70¢ $4 6h
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? BUY Under 62¢ $2 7h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 46¢ $4 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 46¢ $10 8h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $4 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 57¢ $12 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 57¢ $25 8h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 57¢ $3 8h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 46¢ $1 8h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 48¢ $1 10h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? BUY No 42¢ $4 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $7 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +4.2% -5.7% 52% 48% -9.1%
≤30d 404 -10.5% -19.0% 50% 46% -19.9%
≤90d 900 -13.1% -21.4% 50% 47% -20.7%
all 900 -13.1% -21.4% 50% 47% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.4% 47% -20.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 41% -28.3%
15% -35.8% 34% -35.2%
20% -42.1% 26% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $298.72 · official $297.89 (match) · 2301 history records