Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:29:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EE 0xee55…1c8a crypto 34 markets active 5d ago coverage 14d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR65%break-even
Win rate68%23W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day4.4pace
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$4
14 days−$1
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$5
other 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +15.4% +4.4% 70% 70% +11.6%
≤30d 34 +7.8% -2.4% 68% 65% -13.0%
≤90d 34 +7.8% -2.4% 68% 65% -13.0%
all 34 +7.8% -2.4% 68% 65% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.4% 65% -13.0%
10% -11.8% 50% -21.3%
15% -20.3% 44% -28.9%
20% -28.1% 26% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +18% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses23 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage14d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 34 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +94%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $3 +$3 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 03 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 03 $16 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 03 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 03 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 03 $13 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 6d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 46¢ $3 6d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $5 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $0 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 72 history records