Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:02:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee5a…24d1 sports 145 markets active 3d ago coverage 155d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$130 (-10%) realized −$130 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate36%52W / 93L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day1.9pace
Fees−$19est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$5
14 days−$19
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 90% −$147
crypto 7% −$19
other 3% +$1
finance 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +3.9% -6.0% 67% 67% -27.4%
≤30d 16 -34.5% -40.8% 38% 25% -43.0%
≤90d 86 -26.9% -33.8% 38% 27% -20.2%
all 145 -29.2% -36.0% 36% 28% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.0% 28% -21.9%
10% -42.1% 23% -29.3%
15% -47.7% 18% -36.2%
20% -52.8% 14% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -29% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -27% → late -32% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

155d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$130
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses52 / 93
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)145 / 145
History coverage155d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 145 Trades
no open positions (70 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $3 +$1 +41%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $4 +$2 +45%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $15 −$15 -98%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshire Jun 07 $10 $0 -3%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Yorkshire Jun 07 $10 +$1 +7%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies Jun 01 $18 −$1 -6%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $5 −$5 -98%
T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zea May 25 $1 −$1 -97%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Malta May 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 22 $5 $0 +8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 22 $5 −$4 -81%
Will Pakistan win? May 17 $10 −$2 -23%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA May 14 $17 −$1 -4%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 12 $10 +$2 +24%
Will Pakistan win? May 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Will the match end in a draw? May 11 $8 +$11 +138%
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand May 10 $20 −$13 -64%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants May 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Bangladesh win? May 09 $10 −$2 -16%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12AM ET May 06 $5 −$4 -82%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings May 05 $4 $0 +6%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Oman May 05 $55 +$16 +29%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants May 04 $10 +$6 +59%
ODI Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe May 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings May 03 $10 −$6 -62%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 03 $5 −$5 -98%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman May 03 $2 $0 +24%
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Hyderabad Kingsmen May 02 $3 −$3 -100%
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand May 02 $5 +$5 +91%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates May 01 $10 +$9 +87%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Apr 27 $3 −$3 -97%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings Apr 25 $3 +$13 +447%
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings Apr 25 $10 +$4 +44%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka Apr 25 $2 −$2 -97%
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatu Apr 24 $12 −$12 -99%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 23 $17 −$7 -40%
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United Apr 23 $57 +$5 +8%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand Apr 23 $17 −$17 -98%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 22 $10 −$5 -48%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians Apr 20 $5 −$5 -98%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 19 $2 −$2 -97%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 19 $4 −$2 -49%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 18 $15 +$2 +15%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Apr 18 $20 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh BUY Bangladesh 10¢ $5 2d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan 11¢ $1 4d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan SELL Pakistan 17¢ $4 4d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan 8¢ $2 4d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands SELL Bangladesh 99¢ $6 4d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 79¢ $5 4d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 57¢ $6 4d
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 38¢ $4 4d
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 77¢ $4 5d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Ireland 15¢ $5 5d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 32¢ $5 9d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 47¢ $10 9d
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshire SELL Derbyshire 37¢ $10 10d
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshire BUY Derbyshire 37¢ $10 11d
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Yorkshire SELL Leicestershire 37¢ $11 11d
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Yorkshire BUY Leicestershire 33¢ $10 11d
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 15¢ $5 15d
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies SELL West Indies 34¢ $10 16d
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies BUY West Indies 28¢ $3 17d
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies BUY West Indies 49¢ $10 17d
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies SELL Ireland 36¢ $7 17d
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies BUY Ireland 26¢ $5 17d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 31¢ $5 22d
T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zea BUY Sri Lanka A 1¢ $1 24d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Malta BUY Malta 25¢ $2 26d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal SELL Royal Challengers Bengaluru 17¢ $6 26d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 15¢ $5 27d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 27d
Will Pakistan win? SELL Yes 29¢ $8 32d
Will Pakistan win? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 305 history records