Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:54:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee67…67a6
other · 264 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,914 +62%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$305 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,563
Realized+$305
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses135 / 185
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions296
Markets (closed)320 / 264
History coverage3d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day1370.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 296 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$290
7 days+$305
14 days+$305
30 days+$305
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes 10¢ $10 $85 +$75 (+777%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes $41 $63 +$22 (+53%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes $65 $63 −$2 (-3%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? Yes $14 $51 +$36 (+252%)
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting? Yes $33 $37 +$4 (+13%)
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 13¢ $25 $36 +$11 (+44%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes $39 $34 −$5 (-14%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day? Yes $24 $31 +$8 (+32%)
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes $24 $31 +$7 (+32%)
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No $29 $30 +$1 (+5%)
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes $28 $27 −$1 (-2%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No $26 $27 +$1 (+4%)
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes $29 $25 −$3 (-12%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt? Yes $20 $24 +$3 (+17%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June? Yes $12 $23 +$11 (+87%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day? Yes $19 $22 +$4 (+20%)
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes $14 $22 +$7 (+50%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? Yes $15 $21 +$6 (+42%)
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes $11 $21 +$11 (+100%)
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes $24 $21 −$3 (-13%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Yes $14 $19 +$5 (+33%)
Will Alec Pierce be traded? Yes $14 $19 +$4 (+31%)
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes $12 $18 +$7 (+58%)
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes $14 $18 +$4 (+25%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? Yes $13 $17 +$5 (+36%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +4665%
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-Ma Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1309%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 5? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +13204%
Delray Beach Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $2 −$2 -118%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $12 +$30 +252%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$18 -3777%
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$5 -121%
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$12 -116%
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5) Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Jun 12 $18 −$29 -162%
Cherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -101%
Will Solana dip to $30 in March? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $10 +$25 +244%
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $0 $0 -41054%
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -43350%
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for Jun 12 $16 −$9 -54%
Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1411%
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Daria Kasatki Jun 12 $3 −$1 -30%
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 11-17? Jun 12 $18 −$16 -91%
Will Passion UA win IEM Rio 2026? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Markéta Vondroušová win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $23 +$35 +157%
Will XRP reach $2.00 May 11-17? Jun 12 $5 −$7 -141%
Dubrovnik: Lola Radivojevic vs Alina Charaeva Jun 12 $9 −$7 -74%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30? Jun 12 $14 +$14 +100%
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? Jun 12 $14 +$20 +144%
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand P Jun 12 $29 −$30 -104%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Henrique Rocha Jun 12 $6 −$11 -200%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -5559%
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $37 −$32 -85%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Claude 4.7 released by May 31? Jun 12 $49 −$18 -36%
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -105%
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? Jun 12 $16 +$112 +683%
Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$4 -5214%
Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils? Jun 12 $13 $0 -2%
BNP Paribas Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsend Jun 12 $17 −$34 -200%
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? Jun 12 $0 +$9 +5930%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026? Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? Jun 12 $0 +$11 +2803%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -482%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $15 −$7 -45%
Claude 4.8 released by June 30? Jun 12 $26 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 35% −$61
tech 25% +$99
politics 13% +$226
world 11% +$229
crypto 9% +$6
sports 4% +$52
economics 2% −$2
culture 0% +$1
finance 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? SELL Yes $2 0m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? SELL Yes $5 0m
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO da SELL No $9 1m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? SELL Yes $9 1m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? SELL Yes $10 1m
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting? BUY Yes $1 2m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY Yes $14 2m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? BUY Yes $4 3m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY Yes $1 3m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? BUY Yes $2 4m
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr SELL Yes $8 4m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY Yes $14 5m
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes $0 6m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes $14 7m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? SELL Yes $16 8m
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO da BUY No $7 8m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? SELL Yes $29 8m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? SELL Yes $9 8m
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO da SELL No $0 9m
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO da BUY No $7 9m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? SELL Yes $15 9m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes $14 10m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? BUY Yes $14 10m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes $0 10m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY Yes $8 10m
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 10m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY Yes $0 11m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY Yes $0 11m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY Yes $0 11m
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day BUY Yes $0 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+129.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 320 +153.8% +129.6% 42% 39% -5.1%
≤30d 320 +153.8% +129.6% 42% 39% -5.1%
≤90d 320 +153.8% +129.6% 42% 39% -5.1%
all 320 +153.8% +129.6% 42% 39% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1370.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +129.6% 39% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here +107.6% 38% -14.2%
15% +87.6% 34% -22.5%
20% +69.2% 31% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,563.00 · official $1,563.00 (match) · 3500 history records