trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 0% | 0% | -11.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 22% | 22% | -6.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.5% | -8.2% | 22% | 22% | -6.4% |
| all | 22 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 45% | 9% | -7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 9% | -7.2% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -16.0% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 0% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -31.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 19 | $28 | −$2 | -7% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 02 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 31 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 29 | $6 | +$1 | +18% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 28 | $46 | +$10 | +21% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 27 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | -18% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Apr 10 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on March 25? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 46°F or below on March 24? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 18 | $13 | +$1 | +7% |
| 2025 February hottest on record? | Mar 12 | $13 | $0 | +1% |