Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T22:58:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee77…bc9f other 15 markets active 2h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ Small sample
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$75 (-10%) realized −$75 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate60%9W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day1.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit7%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days+$112
14 days+$12
30 days−$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 98% −$99
sports 2% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +38.5% +25.4% 88% 88% +22.1%
≤30d 15 +3.8% -6.1% 60% 60% -19.1%
≤90d 15 +3.8% -6.1% 60% 60% -19.1%
all 15 +3.8% -6.1% 60% 60% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.1% 60% -19.1%
10% -15.0% 40% -26.9%
15% -23.3% 40% -33.9%
20% -30.8% 27% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 29% · top 2 52% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -36% → late +39% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$22 vs −$46 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses9 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage19d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit7%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 15 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? Jun 28 $71 +$46 +64%
Will England win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $70 +$12 +17%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $60 +$11 +19%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $50 +$10 +20%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $34 +$16 +46%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 23 $17 +$17 +103%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $7 +$10 +140%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $101 −$100 -99%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $47 −$46 -99%
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $101 −$6 -6%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $50 +$57 +114%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $40 +$17 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? SELL Yes 100¢ $117 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 60¢ $71 10h
Will England win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 85¢ $70 34h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 84¢ $60 3d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 83¢ $50 4d
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 68¢ $34 5d
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) SELL Portugal 91¢ $34 5d
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) BUY Portugal 44¢ $17 5d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 41¢ $7 6d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 68¢ $101 13d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $47 15d
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 54¢ $47 15d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $55 15d
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 57¢ $51 15d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $50 16d
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 55¢ $48 16d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 42¢ $61 16d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $57 17d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $40 18d
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 56¢ $51 19d
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 28 history records