Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:38:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

EE 0xee7a…d503 sports 4 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage

Total PnL −$30 (-8%) realized −$11 · open −$19

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt -63% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -68% what you keep after slip

Net edge-68%after slip

Net WR0%break-even

Win rate0%0W / 1L

Drawdown100%max

Avg bet$89per market

Trades / day5.0pace

Fees−$2est.

Kalshi-fit100%portable

Net worth$287now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +0%

net ROI/market (all)-66.9%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	1	-63.4%	-66.9%	0%	0%	-66.9%
≤30d	1	-63.4%	-66.9%	0%	0%	-66.9%
≤90d	1	-63.4%	-66.9%	0%	0%	-66.9%
all	1	-63.4%	-66.9%	0%	0%	-66.9%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover5.0 tr/day

realistic slip~7%

edge survives to0%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	-66.9%	0%	-66.9%
10%	-70.1%	0%	-70.1%
15%	-73.0%	0%	-73.0%
20%	-75.6%	0%	-75.6%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top —% · top 2 —% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI -63% too few recent

Fragile wins

—% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt -63% · $-wt -63% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

— vs −$32 no data

Profit factor

×0.0 loses more than it wins

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$287

Realized−$11

Unrealized−$19

Win rate (resolved)0%

Wins / losses0 / 1

Est. fees paid−$2

Open positions3

Markets (closed)1 / 4

History coverage1d

Avg bet$89

Trades / day5.0

Drawdown100%

Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 3 History 1 Trades

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In	T1	95¢	96¢	$200	$201	+$1 (+1%)
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	T1	84¢	84¢	$86	$85	−$1 (-1%)
Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	QoR	65¢	0¢	$20	$0	−$19 (-100%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN	Jun 27	$50	−$32	-63%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	BUY T1	84¢	$86	1h
Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group	BUY QoR	65¢	$20	1h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN	SELL Inner Circle Esports	26¢	$18	9h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN	BUY Inner Circle Esports	70¢	$50	10h
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In	BUY T1	95¢	$200	10h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $286.57 · official $286.57 (match) · 5 history records