Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T08:38:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee7c…70f2 sports 217 markets active 2h ago coverage 62d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 61d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$4,904 (+3%) realized +$5,302 · open −$398
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate42%91W / 125L
Whale WR41%big bets
Drawdown92%max
Avg bet$833per market
Trades / day53.1pace
Fees−$5,015est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 62d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$12,989
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -43.9% -49.3% 16% 16% -55.6%
≤30d 53 +24.9% +13.0% 40% 40% +5.3%
≤90d 216 +13.5% +2.7% 42% 41% -2.8%
all 216 +13.5% +2.7% 42% 41% -2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.7% 41% -2.8%
10% -7.1% 38% -12.1%
15% ← realistic here -16.1% 36% -20.6%
20% -24.3% 34% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 41% (≥$1,133) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +33% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
10.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,050 vs −$658 · ×1.6 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$5,302
Unrealized−$398
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses91 / 125
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$5,015
Open positions1
Markets (closed)216 / 217
History coverage62d ⚠
Avg bet$833
Trades / day53.1
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 216 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ 0¢ $400 $2 −$398 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 4 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 29 $1,159 +$1,300 +112%
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 29 $884 −$875 -99%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $676 −$676 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $891 −$316 -36%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $1,772 +$1,468 +83%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $2,300 +$1,412 +61%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $287 −$287 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $808 −$13 -2%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 28 $879 −$879 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $1,685 −$740 -44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $2,239 +$512 +23%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $661 −$661 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $472 −$472 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $587 −$150 -26%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $1,231 −$1,231 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $472 −$461 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $1,727 −$1,727 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $734 −$734 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $985 −$985 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $1,540 −$1,540 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $701 −$701 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $764 −$764 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 28 $861 −$521 -60%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $1,707 −$994 -58%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 28 $2,003 −$2,003 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $720 −$715 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $2,203 −$2,203 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $385 −$385 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $2,830 −$2,830 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $323 +$1,020 +316%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $677 −$663 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $814 −$103 -13%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $465 +$1,253 +270%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2,357 +$3,818 +162%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,814 +$3,538 +195%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2,275 −$52 -2%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,766 −$21 -1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,850 +$2,315 +125%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $20 −$4 -22%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $3 +$2 +70%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,420 −$552 -39%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,130 +$770 +68%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $940 +$1,060 +113%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $930 +$950 +102%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $525 +$455 +87%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $275 +$225 +82%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $410 +$590 +144%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $1,727 +$4,150 +240%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $706 +$1,252 +177%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $112 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $13 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $2 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $69 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $74 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $10 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $70 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $7 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $9 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 23¢ $177 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 20¢ $391 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $162 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $27 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $11 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $72 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $5 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $5 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $1 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $5 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $5 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $5 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $104 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $16 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $205 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 10¢ $205 1h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 17¢ $200 3h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 17¢ $162 3h
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 17¢ $76 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 3500 history records