Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T16:56:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EE 0xee7f…e8aa crypto 1478 markets active 1h ago coverage 57d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 56d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,056 (-3%) realized −$1,056 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate89%1313W / 165L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day42.8pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$72
14 days+$143
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$270
other 13% −$337
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +1.5% -8.2% 95% 2% -6.4%
≤30d 596 -0.5% -9.9% 93% 9% -8.7%
≤90d 1478 -0.2% -9.7% 89% 8% -11.2%
all 1478 -0.2% -9.7% 89% 8% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 8% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -19.7%
15% -26.2% 1% -27.5%
20% -33.4% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,056
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1313 / 165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1478 / 1478
History coverage57d ⚠
Avg bet$22
Trades / day42.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1478 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 23 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $99 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 22 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$5 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $101 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $101 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $199 +$16 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $202 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$2 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $52 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $54 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $60 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $37 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $63 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $52 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $54 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $103 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $99 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $52 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $20 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $25 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $51 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records