Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:00:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee84…66e8 crypto 74 markets active 4d ago coverage 20d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$86 (+4%) realized +$86 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate42%31W / 43L
Drawdown88%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day11.2pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$55
14 days−$98
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 84% +$30
world 13% +$23
other 3% −$15
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -12.1% -20.4% 42% 32% -5.6%
≤30d 74 -11.5% -19.9% 42% 35% -8.0%
≤90d 74 -11.5% -19.9% 42% 35% -8.0%
all 74 -11.5% -19.9% 42% 35% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.9% 35% -8.0%
10% -27.6% 30% -16.8%
15% -34.6% 24% -24.8%
20% -41.0% 20% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt +2% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$17 · ×1.46 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses31 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage20d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 74 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$27 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$66 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$26 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $63 −$32 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$18 +346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$90 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $63 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $42 +$102 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $52 +$48 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $83 +$67 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$15 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $141 +$24 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$89 +420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $71 +$3 +4%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 04 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 03 $36 −$8 -22%
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 03 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 03 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $21 +$18 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 03 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 03 $16 −$15 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 258 history records