trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -35.4% | -41.5% | 43% | 43% | -28.1% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 37% | 37% | -13.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 37% | 37% | -13.1% |
| all | 19 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 37% | 37% | -13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.3% | 37% | -13.1% |
| 10% | -35.1% | 37% | -21.4% |
| 15% | -41.4% | 32% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -47.1% | 21% | -35.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 22¢ | $67 | $86 | +$19 (+28%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 12¢ | $56 | $44 | −$12 (-21%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $29 | $29 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $19 | $14 | −$5 (-28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Jun 26 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 26 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $28 | +$22 | +76% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $20 | +$9 | +46% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $77 | +$23 | +31% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $35 | −$2 | -5% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $30 | −$24 | -79% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | −$23 | -46% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $68 | +$32 | +48% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $27 | −$27 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$26 | +86% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $21 | +$29 | +134% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $32 | +$68 | +216% |