trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 18¢ | $9 | $8 | −$2 (-16%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 16¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-59%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Up | 35¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | Up | 13¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 8¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 16¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Down | 22¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Down | 22¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +17% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -54% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | −$10 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$3 | +60% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $4 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $3 | −$2 | -61% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -30.4% | -37.0% | 38% | 38% | -54.6% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -30.4% | -37.0% | 38% | 38% | -54.6% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -30.4% | -37.0% | 38% | 38% | -54.6% |
| all | 16 | -30.4% | -37.0% | 38% | 38% | -54.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.0% | 38% | -54.6% |
| 10% | -43.1% | 31% | -59.0% |
| 15% | -48.6% | 25% | -62.9% |
| 20% | -53.6% | 19% | -66.6% |