trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +112.0% | +91.8% | 100% | 100% | +91.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -31.7% | -38.2% | 40% | 40% | -20.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 38% | 31% | -28.8% |
| all | 16 | -36.9% | -42.9% | 38% | 31% | -28.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.9% | 31% | -28.8% |
| 10% | -48.4% | 19% | -35.6% |
| 15% | -53.4% | 12% | -41.9% |
| 20% | -58.0% | 6% | -47.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 31¢ | 42¢ | $34 | $45 | +$11 (+34%) |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $12 | $6 | −$6 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA Worl | Jun 25 | $110 | +$123 | +112% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $76 | −$75 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Jun 05 | $26 | −$25 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Jun 05 | $61 | −$6 | -10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | Jun 05 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Jun 05 | $42 | −$40 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Jun 05 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Jun 05 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | Jun 05 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 8, 2026? | Apr 08 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate af | Apr 08 | $21 | −$14 | -64% |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the M | Apr 08 | $16 | −$5 | -34% |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Natio | Apr 02 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 31 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the M | Mar 27 | $113 | +$9 | +8% |