Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:44:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EE 0xee9c…dffc crypto 1499 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (224 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$195 (-1%) realized −$223 · open +$28
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate93%1402W / 99L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day224.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$38now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$202
14 days−$284
30 days−$284
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$268
other 0% +$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (224 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1138 -1.4% -10.7% 93% 8% -10.4%
≤30d 1501 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 7% -10.5%
≤90d 1501 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 7% -10.5%
all 1501 -1.3% -10.7% 93% 7% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover224.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 7% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 2% -19.0%
15% -27.0% 1% -26.8%
20% -34.2% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$38
Realized−$223
Unrealized+$28
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1402 / 99
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1501 / 1499
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$17
Trades / day224.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1501 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 0¢ 92¢ $0 $28 +$28 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 21 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$8 -1292%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 −$4 -1215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$4 -325%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.19 · official $36.22 · 3500 history records