Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T13:05:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xee9d…0b00 crypto 12 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$34 (-12%) realized −$34 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate42%5W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day24.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-32.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -25.6% -32.7% 42% 33% -36.6%
≤30d 12 -25.6% -32.7% 42% 33% -36.6%
≤90d 12 -25.6% -32.7% 42% 33% -36.6%
all 12 -25.6% -32.7% 42% 33% -36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.7% 33% -36.6%
10% ← realistic here -39.1% 25% -42.7%
15% -45.0% 17% -48.2%
20% -50.4% 17% -53.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 83% · top 2 91% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -30% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt -30% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -25% → late -26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$18 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses5 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 12 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 24 $62 −$59 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 24 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $77 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $27 +$35 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 24 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $8 −$6 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 24 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 24 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 24 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 24 $36 −$23 -64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $36 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 34 history records