Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xee9d…f770
crypto · 840 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,085 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,310 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,310
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses421 / 419
Open positions0
Markets (closed)840 / 840
History coverage45d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day21.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 840 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$33
14 days+$14
30 days−$672
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 45¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 48¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 46¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 70¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 59¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 47¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 37¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 51¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 67¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 64¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 53¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 53¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 43¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 53¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 43¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 53¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 38¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 55¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 36¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 57¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 58¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$6 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$8 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$5 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$4 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,310
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $8 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -11.8% -20.2% 47% 45% -19.9%
≤30d 321 -9.6% -18.2% 49% 49% -26.1%
≤90d 840 -7.1% -15.9% 50% 50% -21.2%
all 840 -7.1% -15.9% 50% 50% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 50% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 49% -28.8%
15% -31.3% 46% -35.7%
20% -38.1% 39% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1523 history records