Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:05:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EE 0xeea3…a6a2 sports 74 markets active 9h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (2757 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$32,233 (+30%) realized +$32,001 · open +$232
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate45%45W / 54L
Whale WR64%big bets
Drawdown47%max
Avg bet$1,473per market
Trades / day2756.7pace
Fees−$1,908est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$3,778now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$7,027
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2757 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +10.2% -0.3% 45% 32% -5.6%
≤30d 99 +10.2% -0.3% 45% 32% -5.6%
≤90d 99 +10.2% -0.3% 45% 32% -5.6%
all 99 +10.2% -0.3% 45% 32% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2756.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.3% 32% -5.6%
10% -9.8% 19% -14.7%
15% ← realistic here -18.5% 12% -22.9%
20% -26.5% 8% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 64% (≥$1,976) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +14% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
33.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$308 vs −$185 · ×1.67 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.39 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$3,778
Realized+$32,001
Unrealized+$232
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses45 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$1,908
Open positions5
Markets (closed)99 / 74
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$1,473
Trades / day2756.7
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 99 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston Felix Gill 57¢ 68¢ $1,079 $1,293 +$214 (+20%)
Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Henry Searle 59¢ 80¢ $781 $1,061 +$280 (+36%)
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 65¢ 48¢ $1,297 $965 −$332 (-26%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 78¢ 100¢ $269 $346 +$78 (+29%)
Dublin: Elias Ymer vs Henry Searle Elias Ymer 37¢ 20¢ $134 $74 −$60 (-45%)
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Lorenzo Giustino Maks Kasnikowski 78¢ 75¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-4%)
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 48¢ 52¢ $10 $10 +$1 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 38 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Jun 16 $1 +$16 +1626%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 16 $54 −$81 -151%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Luka Mikrut Jun 16 $20 −$11 -57%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 16 $8 −$37 -458%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 16 $286 −$140 -49%
Ilkley: Elvina Kalieva vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 16 $21 −$23 -105%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 16 $2 $0 -16%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 16 $79 −$86 -108%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 16 $5 +$34 +688%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Aoi Ito Jun 16 $40 −$71 -176%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman Jun 16 $316 −$326 -103%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 16 $3 −$18 -556%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Jun 16 $177 −$175 -99%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 16 $385 −$483 -126%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 16 $465 −$460 -99%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnet Jun 16 $29 −$31 -109%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Timo Legout Jun 16 $23 −$23 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parks Jun 16 $422 −$428 -102%
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Jun 16 $21 −$37 -177%
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 16 $31 −$96 -308%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 16 $100 +$32 +32%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 16 $47 −$46 -99%
Tyler: Liam Draxl vs Braden Shick Jun 16 $124 −$156 -126%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 16 $42 −$42 -98%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski Jun 16 $3 −$21 -659%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 16 $17 −$27 -157%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 16 $197 −$182 -93%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Mimi Xu vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 16 $20 +$78 +391%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 16 $21 −$52 -246%
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez Jun 15 $3,759 −$277 -7%
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro Jun 15 $380 +$47 +12%
Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardt Jun 15 $3,003 +$463 +15%
Asuncion 2: Juan Estevez vs Samuel Linde Jun 15 $176 +$21 +12%
Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 15 $1,662 +$760 +46%
Royan: Lucio Ratti vs Calvin Hemery Jun 15 $1,235 +$815 +66%
Nottingham 2: Coleman Wong vs Billy Harris Jun 15 $2,112 +$483 +23%
Parma: Franco Agamenone vs Stefano Napolitano Jun 15 $1,666 −$345 -21%
Royan: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Alejandro Moro Canas Jun 15 $2,376 +$1,236 +52%
Nottingham Open: Anna Blinkova vs Taylah Preston Jun 15 $2,542 +$714 +28%
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 15 $1,533 $0 -0%
Parma: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 15 $624 +$24 +4%
Brescia: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 15 $1,294 +$183 +14%
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Vera Zvonareva Jun 15 $427 −$108 -25%
Poznan: Petr Brunclik vs Sumit Nagal Jun 15 $980 +$197 +20%
Dublin: Alexis Galarneau vs Francesco Maestrelli Jun 15 $2,073 +$756 +36%
HSBC Championships: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 15 $3,919 −$1,612 -41%
Nottingham 2: Anton Matusevich vs Arthur Gea Jun 15 $403 −$103 -26%
Royan: Pierre Delage vs Svyatoslav Gulin Jun 15 $357 −$61 -17%
Figueira Da Foz: Carolyn Ansari vs Barbora Palicova Jun 15 $133 +$57 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 89¢ $54 8h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 77¢ $25 8h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez SELL Juan Sebastian Gomez 81¢ $21 8h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 64¢ $180 8h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 21¢ $11 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez SELL Juan Sebastian Gomez 90¢ $67 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 12¢ $25 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 92¢ $180 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 86¢ $175 9h
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro BUY Eduardo Ribeiro 96¢ $71 9h
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro BUY Eduardo Ribeiro 90¢ $68 9h
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro BUY Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 11¢ $10 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 37¢ $86 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez SELL Carlos Maria Zarate 59¢ $360 9h
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro BUY Eduardo Ribeiro 88¢ $11 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 41¢ $83 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 37¢ $75 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 33¢ $67 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 34¢ $3 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 68¢ $87 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 63¢ $127 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez SELL Juan Sebastian Gomez 38¢ $102 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 55¢ $103 9h
Asuncion 2: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Eduardo Ribeiro BUY Eduardo Ribeiro 91¢ $87 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez SELL Carlos Maria Zarate 51¢ $257 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 50¢ $102 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 35¢ $3 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 70¢ $7 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez SELL Juan Sebastian Gomez 33¢ $19 9h
Asuncion 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Sebastian Gomez BUY Juan Sebastian Gomez 31¢ $25 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,777.63 · official $3,777.63 (match) · 3500 history records