Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T19:46:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
EE 0xeea8…4845 sports 10 markets active 2h ago coverage 21d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge
Total PnL +$237 (+53%) realized +$237 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +60% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +44% what you keep after slip
Net edge+44%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate56%5W / 4L
Drawdown18%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day0.7pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit60%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$171
14 days+$231
30 days+$247
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 95% +$231
other 5% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+44.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +89.5% +71.5% 100% 100% +66.6%
≤30d 9 +59.5% +44.3% 56% 56% +50.0%
≤90d 9 +59.5% +44.3% 56% 56% +50.0%
all 9 +59.5% +44.3% 56% 56% +50.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +44.3% 56% +50.0%
10% +30.5% 56% +35.6%
15% +17.9% 56% +22.5%
20% +6.3% 56% +10.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 34% · top 2 61% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +62% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +60% · $-wt +62% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$61 vs −$15 · ×4.16 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×5.2 per $1 lost it wins $5.2
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$237
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses5 / 4
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 10
History coverage21d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit60%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 9 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 Jun 20 $63 +$44 +70%
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5 Jun 17 $39 +$46 +119%
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $102 +$81 +79%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $60 −$45 -74%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $147 +$105 +71%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 30 $5 +$31 +596%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 30 $5 −$4 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $106 1h
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $63 2h
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 45¢ $39 2d
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 55¢ $102 4d
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) AND Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY 30¢ $14 7d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 21¢ $14 7d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $30 8d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $30 8d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $251 8d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $147 9d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? SELL Yes 100¢ $36 20d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 21d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 21d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 21d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records