Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T00:40:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
EE 0xeea9…b442 crypto 78 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$406 (+19%) realized +$406 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate53%41W / 37L
Drawdown42%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day41.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$423
sports 0% −$10
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -0.9% -10.4% 53% 50% +7.7%
≤30d 78 -0.9% -10.4% 53% 50% +7.7%
≤90d 78 -0.9% -10.4% 53% 50% +7.7%
all 78 -0.9% -10.4% 53% 50% +7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 50% +7.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 47% -2.6%
15% -26.8% 44% -12.0%
20% -34.0% 41% -20.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +19% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +19% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late +14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$20 · ×1.4 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.55 per $1 lost it wins $1.55
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$406
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses41 / 37
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 78
History coverage3d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day41.4
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 78 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $42 +$72 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 24 $52 −$50 -97%
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? Jun 24 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 24 $52 +$44 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 24 $57 +$62 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $124 +$122 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$29 +140%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $42 +$51 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 24 $41 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $41 +$41 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 23 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 23 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $21 +$29 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$32 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12PM ET Jun 23 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $21 +$32 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $42 +$53 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $42 +$57 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 23 $41 +$37 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23? Jun 23 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$28 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$39 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$9 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$31 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $41 +$39 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$9 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$17 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $21 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 1h
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 12h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $21 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 177 history records