trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +35.8% | +22.9% | 100% | 50% | +17.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 57% | 43% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 57% | 43% | -10.8% |
| all | 13 | -21.9% | -29.4% | 31% | 23% | -13.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.4% | 23% | -13.4% |
| 10% | -36.1% | 23% | -21.7% |
| 15% | -42.3% | 23% | -29.3% |
| 20% | -48.0% | 15% | -36.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 87¢ | 94¢ | $25 | $27 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $23 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $14 | +$9 | +62% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$24 | +158% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Mar 06 | $14 | −$3 | -23% |
| Will Paul Dahl win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election? | Feb 20 | $0 | $0 | -41% |
| Will Chael Sonnen win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary elec | Feb 20 | $0 | $0 | -73% |
| Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 20 | Feb 20 | $0 | $0 | -20% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Feb 20 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Oly | Feb 15 | $0 | $0 | -100% |