trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 85% | 7% | -7.8% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 85% | 7% | -7.8% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 85% | 7% | -7.8% |
| all | 27 | +1.1% | -8.6% | 85% | 7% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -8.6% | 7% | -7.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -17.3% | 4% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 4% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -32.6% | 4% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17? | Yes | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1,613 | $1,685 | +$72 (+4%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1,158 | $1,164 | +$6 (+0%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17? | Yes | 84¢ | 88¢ | $251 | $264 | +$13 (+5%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $118 | $128 | +$10 (+9%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 17? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | $78 | $79 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $288 | +$19 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on June 17? | Jun 17 | $47 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 17? | Jun 17 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 16? | Jun 17 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 16? | Jun 17 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $92 | +$5 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $2,079 | +$190 | +9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1,788 | +$83 | +5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $244 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $956 | +$20 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15? | Jun 15 | $607 | −$139 | -23% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $104 | −$14 | -13% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15? | Jun 15 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $34 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $18 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $24 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1,265 | +$44 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $559 | +$22 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $303 | +$5 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $96 | +$4 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $153 | +$7 | +4% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$16 | +158% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $48 | −$43 | -90% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $92 | +$4 | +4% |