trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 21 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 29% | 29% | -4.8% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 29% | 29% | -4.8% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 29% | 29% | -4.8% |
| all | 22 | -13.3% | -21.5% | 32% | 32% | +12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.5% | 32% | +12.8% |
| 10% | -29.0% | 32% | +2.0% |
| 15% | -35.9% | 32% | -7.8% |
| 20% | -42.2% | 27% | -16.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $168 | $167 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$5 | -10% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $509 | +$682 | +134% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$344 | +335% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$58 | +57% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | +$282 | +276% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $506 | −$500 | -99% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $508 | +$556 | +109% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $2,999 | +$1,400 | +47% |