Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T04:55:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeeb6…cc67 crypto 155 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$47 (+3%) realized +$34 · open +$13
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR53%break-even
Win rate57%88W / 66L
Drawdown56%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day86.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$18now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 154 -5.9% -14.9% 57% 53% -6.0%
≤30d 154 -5.9% -14.9% 57% 53% -6.0%
≤90d 154 -5.9% -14.9% 57% 53% -6.0%
all 154 -5.9% -14.9% 57% 53% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 53% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 50% -15.0%
15% -30.4% 44% -23.2%
20% -37.3% 29% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt +4% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$6 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$18
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses88 / 66
Open positions1
Markets (closed)154 / 155
History coverage3d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day86.0
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 154 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 14¢ 50¢ $5 $18 +$13 (+261%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 25 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 22 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 22 $22 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 22 $36 +$35 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 22 $1 +$3 +270%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 22 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 22 $81 +$118 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 22 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 22 $67 +$19 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 22 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 22 $13 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 22 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 22 $28 +$8 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 22 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 21 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 21 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 21 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 21 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 21 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 21 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 21 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 21 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 21 $2 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 21 $9 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 21 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 21 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $24 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $71 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.04 · official $18.04 (match) · 372 history records