Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T09:05:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
EE 0xeeb8…258b sports 28 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$87 (+8%) realized +$33 · open +$54
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -4% what you keep after slip
Net edge-4%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate43%6W / 8L
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day12.4pace
Fees−$10est.
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$288now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
other 56% +$321
sports 44% +$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+4.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +15.1% +4.1% 43% 43% +52.2%
≤30d 14 +15.1% +4.1% 43% 43% +52.2%
≤90d 14 +15.1% +4.1% 43% 43% +52.2%
all 14 +15.1% +4.1% 43% 43% +52.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.1% 43% +52.2%
10% -5.9% 43% +37.6%
15% -15.0% 43% +24.3%
20% -23.3% 36% +12.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 42% · top 2 67% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +68% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +15% · $-wt +68% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -25% → late +55% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$82 vs −$14 · ×5.74 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×4.3 per $1 lost it wins $4.3
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$288
Realized+$33
Unrealized+$54
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses6 / 8
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions6
Markets (closed)14 / 28
History coverage3d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 14 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 20¢ $67 $100 +$34 (+50%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 13¢ $50 $61 +$11 (+21%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 26¢ $33 $53 +$20 (+59%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $30 $23 −$7 (-24%)
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $24 $22 −$2 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 5 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 18 $46 −$4 -8%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Jun 18 $56 +$207 +369%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $126 +$92 +73%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $20 +$23 +114%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $50 +$18 +36%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 16 $19 −$19 -97%
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 16 $20 −$20 -98%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $93 +$119 +129%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $15 −$15 -97%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $30 +$31 +101%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $20 −$1 -5%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $20 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Switzerland v BUY 19¢ $22 1h
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 23¢ $42 1h
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $26 1h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score AND Will Mexico vs. Kor BUY 23¢ $24 1h
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $20 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland to sco BUY 24¢ $41 4h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? AND BUY 6¢ $41 4h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND SELL 92¢ $263 5h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND BUY 19¢ $56 13h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY 67¢ $49 17h
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $25 18h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND BUY 14¢ $57 26h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 96¢ $68 27h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $37 28h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY 46¢ $20 28h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 70¢ $50 28h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 13¢ $15 33h
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 33h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 19¢ $31 35h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $51 35h
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $9 35h
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $20 35h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $88 2d
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 2d
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY 43¢ $93 2d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 68¢ $20 2d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 12¢ $15 2d
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $61 2d
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $31 2d
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? BUY 27¢ $25 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $288.32 · official $412.32 · 41 history records