Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T05:36:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeebb…0b96 sports 334 markets active 0h ago coverage 50d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$13,251 (-11%) realized −$13,886 · open +$635
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate41%133W / 193L
Whale WR40%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$376per market
Trades / day19.0pace
Fees−$1,985est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$2,705now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$593
7 days−$3,474
14 days−$3,421
30 days−$11,804
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 98% −$12,065
other 2% −$579
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -10.4% -18.9% 42% 42% -18.6%
≤30d 230 -6.0% -14.9% 40% 40% -20.3%
≤90d 326 -4.7% -13.7% 41% 40% -19.3%
all 326 -4.7% -13.7% 41% 40% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 40% -19.3%
10% -22.0% 38% -27.0%
15% -29.5% 36% -34.1%
20% -36.4% 33% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 40% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -8% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$412 vs −$353 · ×1.17 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

50d coverage
Net worth$2,705
Realized−$13,886
Unrealized+$635
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses133 / 193
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$1,985
Open positions8
Markets (closed)326 / 334
History coverage50d
Avg bet$376
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 8 History 326 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner Amaru Gaming 33¢ 100¢ $310 $952 +$642 (+207%)
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) EDward Gaming 52¢ 54¢ $500 $514 +$14 (+3%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Spirit 46¢ 46¢ $391 $386 −$4 (-1%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 28¢ 26¢ $347 $316 −$31 (-9%)
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C Pixel Lumina 27¢ 26¢ $111 $108 −$3 (-3%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In Deep Cross Gaming 13¢ 14¢ $92 $98 +$6 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs Oxuji Esports 27¢ 43¢ $19 $31 +$12 (+59%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs Team Nemesis 84¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-33%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 170 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Jun 19 $936 +$910 +97%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South Am Jun 18 $61 +$61 +101%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $51 +$85 +166%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $498 +$520 +105%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winne Jun 18 $407 −$400 -98%
Valorant: X-CAST vs ARETE - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $24 +$27 +109%
Valorant: X-CAST vs ARETE - Map 1 Winner Jun 18 $91 +$72 +79%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Jun 18 $786 −$774 -98%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 18 $321 −$315 -98%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $287 −$282 -98%
Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5) Jun 18 $41 +$75 +180%
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stag Jun 18 $60 +$76 +126%
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) Jun 18 $77 +$74 +97%
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Sta Jun 18 $47 +$76 +163%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $12 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 17 $992 −$829 -84%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Group Jun 17 $2 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $255 +$348 +136%
Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs DXA Esports (+1.5) Jun 17 $50 +$74 +148%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $337 −$330 -98%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - The International South Ame Jun 17 $51 −$49 -97%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $519 −$509 -98%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) Jun 16 $66 +$75 +114%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Jun 16 $1,768 −$1,389 -79%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner Jun 16 $93 −$91 -98%
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Close Jun 16 $103 −$100 -97%
Map Handicap: UW (-1.5) vs KRÜ Blaze (+1.5) Jun 16 $205 −$201 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $1,719 +$2,684 +156%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) Jun 15 $40 +$75 +188%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Sta Jun 15 $318 +$308 +97%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $213 −$210 -99%
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) Jun 15 $141 +$217 +154%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $93 +$27 +29%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $779 +$166 +21%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $886 +$189 +21%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 15 $101 +$87 +86%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 3 Winner Jun 15 $97 +$148 +152%
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Cl Jun 14 $666 −$653 -98%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $321 +$446 +139%
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5) Jun 14 $38 +$45 +119%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series Jun 14 $82 +$112 +137%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 14 $26 −$26 -98%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $242 +$101 +42%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $65 +$43 +65%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $189 +$219 +116%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $205 −$202 -98%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 14 $313 −$308 -98%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 14 $73 +$38 +52%
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $46 −$45 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $136 −$132 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Spirit 46¢ $133 9m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Spirit 46¢ $61 22m
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Spirit 46¢ $203 22m
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South A BUY Team Nemesis 84¢ $1 38m
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Amaru Gaming 31¢ $255 1h
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Amaru Gaming 38¢ $61 1h
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America BUY LGD Gaming 49¢ $22 4h
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America BUY LGD Gaming 50¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America BUY LGD Gaming 50¢ $304 4h
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America BUY LGD Gaming 50¢ $609 4h
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 BUY Pixel Lumina 27¢ $11 6h
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 BUY Pixel Lumina 27¢ $102 6h
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 55¢ $243 13h
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 2 Winner BUY Estar Backs 43¢ $254 13h
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South Am BUY Amaru Gaming 49¢ $61 16h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winne BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 42¢ $407 16h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 34¢ $7 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 34¢ $306 18h
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY KOLESIE 38¢ $306 18h
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner BUY KOLESIE 38¢ $15 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 39¢ $2 19h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 37¢ $184 19h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 38¢ $102 19h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 61¢ $81 19h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 61¢ $101 19h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 62¢ $190 19h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 59¢ $101 19h
Valorant: X-CAST vs ARETE - Map 2 Winner BUY X-CAST 47¢ $0 20h
Valorant: X-CAST vs ARETE - Map 2 Winner BUY X-CAST 47¢ $24 20h
Valorant: X-CAST vs ARETE - Map 1 Winner BUY X-CAST 55¢ $91 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,705.46 · official $2,705.49 (match) · 1116 history records