Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T03:00:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeebe…72f2 sports 598 markets active 0h ago coverage 101d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$835 (-4%) realized −$835 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate42%251W / 347L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day15.5pace
Fees−$466est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$159
7 days+$295
14 days+$291
30 days+$196
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 90% −$1,593
crypto 6% −$184
other 4% +$297
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -3.5% -12.7% 33% 33% +24.1%
≤30d 113 -3.9% -13.0% 40% 38% -3.5%
≤90d 449 -8.2% -16.9% 42% 38% -17.7%
all 598 -11.4% -19.8% 42% 39% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 39% -18.1%
10% -27.5% 34% -26.0%
15% -34.5% 28% -33.1%
20% -40.9% 23% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$21 vs −$19 · ×1.08 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

101d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$835
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses251 / 347
Est. fees paid−$466
Open positions0
Markets (closed)598 / 598
History coverage101d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 598 Trades
no open positions (315 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $53 +$57 +108%
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? Jun 28 $31 +$52 +170%
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 27 $59 +$60 +102%
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp Jun 27 $30 +$12 +40%
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 27 $8 −$8 -98%
Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? Jun 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 25 $35 −$1 -2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? Jun 24 $35 −$34 -98%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Suzan Lamens Jun 24 $8 −$8 -98%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Jun 24 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 24 $30 −$29 -98%
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 24 $50 −$49 -98%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemund Jun 23 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $79 +$187 +237%
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 23 $20 −$20 -98%
Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandez Jun 22 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 22 $25 −$24 -98%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $93 +$41 +44%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Francesca Jones Jun 22 $8 −$8 -97%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jun 22 $9 +$1 +12%
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaider Jun 22 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $51 +$67 +132%
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 22 $20 +$15 +75%
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 22 $20 +$75 +365%
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 21 $20 +$80 +388%
Brescia: Xiyu Wang vs Mayar Sherif Jun 21 $20 −$20 -98%
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 21 $61 −$12 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 21 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 21 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? Jun 21 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 21 $21 +$17 +82%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $40 +$90 +226%
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Petr Bar Bi Jun 20 $13 −$13 -97%
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibson Jun 19 $41 −$40 -98%
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Facundo Acosta Jun 19 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 19 $20 −$13 -63%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 18 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 18 $10 +$37 +365%
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? Jun 18 $20 −$20 -99%
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 17 $35 −$34 -98%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 17 $49 +$12 +26%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $167 −$136 -81%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $141 +$17 +12%
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Jun 17 $30 −$18 -62%
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 16 $20 −$20 -98%
Grass Court Championships: Clara Tauson vs Diane Parry Jun 16 $19 −$19 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 58¢ $110 26m
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 27¢ $53 1h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? SELL Yes 67¢ $83 1h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $31 3h
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $16 4h
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? SELL Yes 64¢ $117 4h
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $22 5h
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $20 9h
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp SELL Sandro Kopp 75¢ $3 9h
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp SELL Sandro Kopp 47¢ $40 9h
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 31¢ $20 9h
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp BUY Sandro Kopp 39¢ $10 9h
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BUY Ethan Quinn 23¢ $8 12h
Piracicaba: Joaquin Aguilar vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida BUY Joaquin Aguilar 18¢ $5 31h
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 31h
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $12 3d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 3d
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $33 3d
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $23 3d
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $35 3d
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Suzan Lamens BUY Suzan Lamens 15¢ $8 3d
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia BUY Andrea Lazaro Garcia 28¢ $10 3d
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $30 4d
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $30 4d
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $20 4d
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemund BUY Laura Siegemund 58¢ $20 4d
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 4d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 100¢ $265 4d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 29¢ $79 4d
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $20 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1681 history records