Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EE 0xeec0…8acc crypto 354 markets active 2d ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$113 (-2%) realized −$113 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate72%256W / 98L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day66.6pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$204
14 days−$253
30 days−$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$251
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 -9.0% -17.7% 66% 33% -14.1%
≤30d 354 -3.0% -12.2% 72% 27% -13.9%
≤90d 354 -3.0% -12.2% 72% 27% -13.9%
all 354 -3.0% -12.2% 72% 27% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 27% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 20% -22.1%
15% -28.3% 14% -29.6%
20% -35.3% 11% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$11 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$113
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses256 / 98
Open positions0
Markets (closed)354 / 354
History coverage10d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day66.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 354 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +55%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$13 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$19 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$13 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$8 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$13 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$7 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $90 +$32 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1013 history records