Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EE
0xeec3…42e0
crypto · 226 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$18 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses142 / 82
Open positions2
Markets (closed)224 / 226
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day61.3
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$18
14 days+$18
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 77¢ 98¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+28%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Down 67¢ 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 74¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 56¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 65¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Up 67¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 43¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Up 70¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 61¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 61¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Up 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 63¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 66¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$19
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 +1.6% -8.1% 63% 62% -4.6%
≤30d 224 +1.6% -8.1% 63% 62% -4.6%
≤90d 224 +1.6% -8.1% 63% 62% -4.6%
all 224 +1.6% -8.1% 63% 62% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 62% -4.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 60% -13.8%
15% -24.9% 50% -22.1%
20% -32.3% 32% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.95 · official $2.95 (match) · 465 history records