Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T04:25:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.5
score
EE 0xeecb…03ee sports 5 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$642 (-37%) realized −$642 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%2W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$344per market
Trades / day7.1pace
Fees−$37est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$457
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 50% -38.4%
≤30d 4 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 50% -38.4%
≤90d 4 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 50% -38.4%
all 4 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 50% -38.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.3% 50% -38.4%
10% -14.4% 50% -44.3%
15% -22.6% 50% -49.7%
20% -30.2% 50% -54.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 56% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -32% too few recent
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -32% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$118 vs −$346 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.34 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$642
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Est. fees paid−$37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$344
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 Jun 28 $212 +$131 +62%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5 Jun 28 $108 +$105 +97%
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5 Jun 27 $421 −$415 -99%
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5 Jun 27 $698 −$278 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 83¢ $343 1h
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $212 2h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5 SELL Over 100¢ $213 2h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 182.5 BUY Over 50¢ $108 4h
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox AND Phoenix Mercury vs. Toron BUY 31¢ $279 9h
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5 BUY Over 51¢ $421 26h
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5 SELL Over 33¢ $420 26h
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5 BUY Over 53¢ $698 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records