Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T03:45:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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EE 0xeecc…518a sports 21 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$61 (-8%) realized −$70 · open +$9
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate50%9W / 9L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$35per market
Trades / day54.0pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit71%portable
Net worth$99now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 57% +$5
other 30% −$51
crypto 11% +$2
weather 3% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -13.7% -21.9% 50% 22% -20.0%
≤30d 18 -13.7% -21.9% 50% 22% -20.0%
≤90d 18 -13.7% -21.9% 50% 22% -20.0%
all 18 -13.7% -21.9% 50% 22% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 22% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -29.4% 0% -27.6%
15% -36.2% 0% -34.6%
20% -42.5% 0% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 36% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -31% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$10 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.22 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$99
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses9 / 9
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)18 / 21
History coverage1d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 18 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 2 Winner LYON 92¢ 100¢ $46 $50 +$4 (+9%)
Valorant: 9z Team vs University War - Map 2 Winner University War 92¢ 100¢ $27 $29 +$2 (+9%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C MIBR Academy 88¢ 100¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5 Jun 24 $19 −$3 -15%
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER Jun 24 $69 −$8 -12%
Spread: Croatia (-3.5) Jun 24 $19 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Cl Jun 24 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $19 +$2 +8%
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage Jun 23 $19 +$3 +13%
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana? Jun 23 $77 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 23 $19 +$2 +9%
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 23 $78 +$2 +3%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5 Jun 23 $59 −$1 -2%
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 23 $19 $0 -2%
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $19 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $39 −$2 -4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23? Jun 23 $20 −$18 -92%
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria? Jun 23 $39 +$5 +12%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 23 $19 +$3 +13%
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria? Jun 23 $40 −$40 -100%
Jordan leading at halftime? Jun 23 $19 −$19 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 79¢ $16 57m
Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 2 Winner BUY LYON 92¢ $46 1h
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER SELL shimmer 90¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER BUY shimmer 91¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER SELL Atrix Esports 70¢ $17 2h
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER BUY Atrix Esports 92¢ $13 2h
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER BUY Atrix Esports 92¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER SELL Atrix Esports 79¢ $17 2h
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FER BUY Atrix Esports 90¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Gamers Club Li BUY MIBR Academy 88¢ $18 3h
Valorant: 9z Team vs University War - Map 2 Winner BUY University War 92¢ $0 3h
Valorant: 9z Team vs University War - Map 2 Winner BUY University War 92¢ $15 3h
Valorant: 9z Team vs University War - Map 2 Winner BUY University War 92¢ $12 3h
Valorant: 9z Team vs University War - Map 2 Winner SELL University War 76¢ $17 3h
Valorant: 9z Team vs University War - Map 2 Winner BUY University War 88¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $19 4h
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $19 5h
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Cl BUY RED Canids Academy 89¢ $20 8h
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage BUY Misa Esports 88¢ $19 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $19 8h
England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 89¢ $20 9h
Spread: Croatia (-3.5) BUY Panama 91¢ $19 9h
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana? BUY No 92¢ $19 9h
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? SELL No 87¢ $19 9h
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana? SELL No 91¢ $19 9h
England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 90¢ $20 9h
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana? BUY No 92¢ $19 9h
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana? SELL No 91¢ $19 9h
England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 89¢ $20 9h
England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 90¢ $20 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98.95 · official $98.95 (match) · 63 history records